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Post by davis44 on Jun 19, 2017 20:47:17 GMT -5
Game over!
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Post by Rodneck on Jun 19, 2017 21:10:31 GMT -5
Definitely ready to see if Winker can hit at this level. I think he can and game over for Billy. sub .300 OBP's cancels everything else out IMO.
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Post by redsfan4life on Jun 20, 2017 14:25:14 GMT -5
Lineup out for Reds today. It was fun while it lasted for Winker. Hamilton and his .290 OBP leading off. Barnhart catching Mez DH Winker riding pine. Price must go!!!!!!!!!!!
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Post by FoulBalz on Jun 20, 2017 15:44:05 GMT -5
From twitter @dougdirt24 Billy Hamilton is the teams center fielder and he's not getting moved out of that spot for a non-center fielder.
He follows that tweet up with another saying neither Winker or Schebler can play CF in the majors
Winker was a fall back to replace Duvall or Schebler if either one pissed down their leg
Good thing is neither has
Bad thing is Billy Hamilton is pissing down his leg again
Thing is the Reds just don't have anyone to replace him. Reds have been looking for a CF and tip of the order hitting since the days of Corey Patterson, Willy Travares and KTubbs
Reds may have trade bait it anyone looking for power hitter down the stretch and trade Duvall or Schebler. Seems most teams now want to add pitchers. Do we trade one of our stud relief pitchers and if so for what? Inglesis or Lorenzen
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Post by redsfan4life on Jun 22, 2017 17:49:49 GMT -5
I have so enough of Schebler to know he can handle CF. Would he be great nope but he would be serviceable. They need to stop worring about def. when they need all the off. they can get with this pitching. If by some miracle they have a lead in the 8th bring in Billy to play CF. If used right Billy could be a weapon. Start once a week for Winker once for Schebler and once for Duvall. Plus pinchrun in any close game when he wasn't starting then come in play Def. He would still get plenty of PT. And I think the extra rest would keep him fresh with his frail body. He could be a asset if used right instead he is a problem playing everyday and leading off.
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Post by redsfan4life on Jun 22, 2017 18:00:57 GMT -5
When Billy sits.
1. Winker rf 2. Votto 1b 3. Suarez 3b 4. Schebler CF 5. Duvall lf 6. Cozart ss 7. Mesoraco c 8. Scooter/Peraza.
When Billy plays for Winker 1. Votto 1b 2. Suarez 3b 3.Schebler rf 4. Duvall lf 5. Cozart ss 6. Mesoraco c 7.Scooter/Peraza. I would platoon them. At least till Cozart is traded. If they plan on keeping Scooter. He is only 27. 8. Billy cf.
When Billy plays for Schebler or Duvall. 1. Winker rf 2.Votto 1b 3. Suarez 3b 4. Schebler or Duvall. 5. Cozart ss 6. Mesoraco c and I would treat him as a starting catcher. He would only sit no more than twice a week. 7. Scooter/Peraza 2b 8. Billy CF.
This isn't rocket science. It would improve OBP at the top and not hurt Power one bit. Off. would improve. But this would require a manager to think a little and have 3 different lineup secnerios. That is asking too much from Price though.
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Post by Rodneck on Jun 23, 2017 11:26:19 GMT -5
I have so enough of Schebler to know he can handle CF. Would he be great nope but he would be serviceable. They need to stop worring about def. when they need all the off. they can get with this pitching. If by some miracle they have a lead in the 8th bring in Billy to play CF. If used right Billy could be a weapon. Start once a week for Winker once for Schebler and once for Duvall. Plus pinchrun in any close game when he wasn't starting then come in play Def. He would still get plenty of PT. And I think the extra rest would keep him fresh with his frail body. He could be a asset if used right instead he is a problem playing everyday and leading off. You hate to think what could be if Billy was a late bloomer but he's about to get more expensive and is still failing as a hitter. Plus as you said he is frail. I'm pretty much ready to see what Winker can do also. He could be the, possibly, the leadoff hitter we've been searching for, for years.
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Post by socalredsfan on Jun 29, 2017 11:51:54 GMT -5
I think it's easy to trash Billy, and in many instances, for good reason. The problem though, is the Reds win when Billy gets on base. Last night was an example. Billy gets on in the 8th via a walk in a tie game, and steals 2nd and 3rd, scoring on an infield hit; that's the game right there. He does this sort of thing a lot, even with his sub par numbers. It's also easier to bash the kid when he's been in an unbelievable bad stretch. Nobody created this thread in May when he was on fire and scored a whopping 27 runs during the month. He's had two sub par months, and an amazing month. I'm probably as frustrated with him as anyone in here, but I also believe that in this day and age, Billy is a true anomaly. His defense and his speed is an unbelievable game changer. Last year, Billy trailed only Votto and Duvall with a 2.8 WAR. This year, after the horrible June, he's only .3, which puts him way down the list. For me personally, I'm wanting to see how Billy ends the year this year, before I make any decisions.
I want to see what Winker can do too, but let's face it, he's not been some super looking prospect over the last few years. Also, he would really hurt the defense in the outfield, by giving us declining defense in all three spots; not to mention he is a very slow on the bases. Then again, he could be an offensive player like Casey was; hard to say. I'm just not ready to find out at the expense of giving up on Billy right now, and shuffling guys in and out of the lineup all week is a terrible idea that NEVER works. Worst thing you could do to both Duvall and Schebler.
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Post by socalredsfan on Jun 29, 2017 12:15:24 GMT -5
Let me add. The bigger issue is Peraza. That kid is average on defense, has speed, but not a real smart runner, and has ZERO plate discipline. You can't survive at his size and weakness by swinging at 40+ % of balls outside of the strike-zone. Don't be fooled by last year's numbers (I was). Peraza benefited by some major luck with his BABIP. His exit velocity is way below MLB average, especially when you consider he swings at everything. If I were the Reds, when Cozart comes back, I'd send Peraza down to Louisville, and make him cut down on his swinging at balls outside the zone. I know he's only 23, but who cares. He's been playing a long time still, and never improves on his biggest weakness, which is discipline. Scooter has earned the 2nd base job at this point.
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Post by claycc on Jun 29, 2017 13:25:01 GMT -5
Let me add. The bigger issue is Peraza. That kid is average on defense, has speed, but not a real smart runner, and has ZERO plate discipline. You can't survive at his size and weakness by swinging at 40+ % of balls outside of the strike-zone. Don't be fooled by last year's numbers (I was). Peraza benefited by some major luck with his BABIP. His exit velocity is way below MLB average, especially when you consider he swings at everything. If I were the Reds, when Cozart comes back, I'd send Peraza down to Louisville, and make him cut down on his swinging at balls outside the zone. I know he's only 23, but who cares. He's been playing a long time still, and never improves on his biggest weakness, which is discipline. Scooter has earned the 2nd base job at this point. You said it right there on why Hamilton is the bigger issue: Scooter has earned the 2B job. Peraza is riding pine or AAA-bound when Cozart is back. That is going to work itself out. Peraza's plate discipline doesn't really matter. He rarely walks. He has the worst OBP of the starters. Hamilton is actually walking at a somewhat decent rate. If Peraza walked at the same rate as Hamilton, he would still have the 2nd worst OBP of the starters (Hamilton would then be the worst). All that speed sure is nice. But what would be nicer is if the OBP was decent ahead of Votto and the bashers in the heart of the order. Hell, using Barnhart/Mesoraco at the top of the order is almost a better option. But Scooter/Cozart, in whatever order, ahead of Votto makes the most sense right now. I'm hoping Cozart is rejuvenated and has his stroke back anyhow. He had been slumping for awhile.
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Post by Rodneck on Jun 29, 2017 14:36:43 GMT -5
I'm willing to see what Billy does til the end of the year. But at year's end if it is much the same I am ready to move on. And yes I will give up on this type of player who is 26 and is about to be arbitration eligible. I don't give up on a 23 yr old player period. You have a preconceived notion of what Peraza is and the truth is none of us know. Cutting bait at his age is stupid. Suarez improved also and you were ready to call it a day with him too. First cuts are always coming to older underperforming players in my world. And I'm doggedly right!
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Post by socalredsfan on Jun 29, 2017 16:08:22 GMT -5
I'm willing to see what Billy does til the end of the year. But at year's end if it is much the same I am ready to move on. And yes I will give up on this type of player who is 26 and is about to be arbitration eligible. I don't give up on a 23 yr old player period. You have a preconceived notion of what Peraza is and the truth is none of us know. Cutting bait at his age is stupid. Suarez improved also and you were ready to call it a day with him too. First cuts are always coming to older underperforming players in my world. And I'm doggedly right! Rod, my problem with Suarez was in 2015, because I thought he was a terrible fielding SS, and frankly, I didn't think he could hit very well either. I was certainly wrong on the hitting part. Suarez was an absolute steel, and has become a very highly regarded fielder at 3rd base too. I felt much the same about Peraza when I first saw him too. When he was called up the 2nd time though, he fooled me into thinking that he could hit. I guess I thought his little dinkers would fall in year after year. I think we often play the age game, and use that as some sort of barometer, which is probably an incorrect way of evaluating a player. Peraza may be young at 23, but he's been playing organized baseball for years. Contrast that, for example, with Castillo, last night's starter, who is 26, but didn't start playing until he was 19. Peraza is younger but with so much more baseball experience. That aside, it's tough to argue regardless of age, that Peraza is one of the weakest hitters we will ever see, and I mean power related. Balls are coming off his bat weakly, and are not getting squared up. Here's the better question. If you don't give up on a 23 year old, then does that mean you don't give up on any 23 year old in the organization no matter where he was drafted? Point being, what is it about Peraza that screams high level player? Okay, he's fast, some say plays great defense (very debatable). What else? As for Billy, I do agree with you. This is the last year for my patience with him also, especially considering he's going to be arbitration eligible.
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Post by redsfan4life on Jun 29, 2017 17:58:44 GMT -5
Chris, Outside of Votto Billy is my favorite player. He is exciting and he scores when he gets on. Problem is he don't get on base near enough. I think you nailed the Winker comparison to Sean Casey. I would take Sean Casey like numbers from Winker. That would be far better lead off hitter and On BASE guy at the top. I sacrafice Billy in CF to get Winker in the lineup. I would love to see Peraza send down but with Cozart probably about to be traded we have no other ss. I know they would never do it but why not move Billy back to SS if Cozart is traded. Billy SS and Scooter at 2b. This allows Winker to play. It would be a major blow to overall team Def though.
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Post by Rodneck on Jun 29, 2017 21:43:13 GMT -5
I'm willing to see what Billy does til the end of the year. But at year's end if it is much the same I am ready to move on. And yes I will give up on this type of player who is 26 and is about to be arbitration eligible. I don't give up on a 23 yr old player period. You have a preconceived notion of what Peraza is and the truth is none of us know. Cutting bait at his age is stupid. Suarez improved also and you were ready to call it a day with him too. First cuts are always coming to older underperforming players in my world. And I'm doggedly right! Rod, my problem with Suarez was in 2015, because I thought he was a terrible fielding SS, and frankly, I didn't think he could hit very well either. I was certainly wrong on the hitting part. Suarez was an absolute steel, and has become a very highly regarded fielder at 3rd base too. I felt much the same about Peraza when I first saw him too. When he was called up the 2nd time though, he fooled me into thinking that he could hit. I guess I thought his little dinkers would fall in year after year. I think we often play the age game, and use that as some sort of barometer, which is probably an incorrect way of evaluating a player. Peraza may be young at 23, but he's been playing organized baseball for years. Contrast that, for example, with Castillo, last night's starter, who is 26, but didn't start playing until he was 19. Peraza is younger but with so much more baseball experience. That aside, it's tough to argue regardless of age, that Peraza is one of the weakest hitters we will ever see, and I mean power related. Balls are coming off his bat weakly, and are not getting squared up. Here's the better question. If you don't give up on a 23 year old, then does that mean you don't give up on any 23 year old in the organization no matter where he was drafted? Point being, what is it about Peraza that screams high level player? Okay, he's fast, some say plays great defense (very debatable). What else? As for Billy, I do agree with you. This is the last year for my patience with him also, especially considering he's going to be arbitration eligible. Most baseball players don't arrive done. I think Peraza hasn't hit anywhere near his ceiling yet. He gets Billy's age and is doing the same thing I'll be thinking the same thing about him. I'm with you and Brian regarding Winker. If he could be Casey like but at the top of the order that would be a tremendous improvement and worth the defensive sacrifice. I still think defensive metrics contribute too much to WAR anyway.
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Post by socalredsfan on Jun 29, 2017 23:48:51 GMT -5
Rod, my problem with Suarez was in 2015, because I thought he was a terrible fielding SS, and frankly, I didn't think he could hit very well either. I was certainly wrong on the hitting part. Suarez was an absolute steel, and has become a very highly regarded fielder at 3rd base too. I felt much the same about Peraza when I first saw him too. When he was called up the 2nd time though, he fooled me into thinking that he could hit. I guess I thought his little dinkers would fall in year after year. I think we often play the age game, and use that as some sort of barometer, which is probably an incorrect way of evaluating a player. Peraza may be young at 23, but he's been playing organized baseball for years. Contrast that, for example, with Castillo, last night's starter, who is 26, but didn't start playing until he was 19. Peraza is younger but with so much more baseball experience. That aside, it's tough to argue regardless of age, that Peraza is one of the weakest hitters we will ever see, and I mean power related. Balls are coming off his bat weakly, and are not getting squared up. Here's the better question. If you don't give up on a 23 year old, then does that mean you don't give up on any 23 year old in the organization no matter where he was drafted? Point being, what is it about Peraza that screams high level player? Okay, he's fast, some say plays great defense (very debatable). What else? As for Billy, I do agree with you. This is the last year for my patience with him also, especially considering he's going to be arbitration eligible. Most baseball players don't arrive done. I think Peraza hasn't hit anywhere near his ceiling yet. He gets Billy's age and is doing the same thing I'll be thinking the same thing about him. I'm with you and Brian regarding Winker. If he could be Casey like but at the top of the order that would be a tremendous improvement and worth the defensive sacrifice. I still think defensive metrics contribute too much to WAR anyway. Rod, why do you think Peraza hasn't hit his ceiling? What is it about his play to this point, including minor leagues, that suggest he's somehow going to be a good hitter? He hits the ball weekly, and has absolutely ZERO plate discipline; in fact, he's getting worse when it comes to plate discipline, as he gets older. Why is he somehow given the rope that other 23 years old's are not given? I just don't understand the hype about this kid.
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